People principle will reap rewards

first_imgPeople principle will reap rewardsOn 8 Oct 2002 in Personnel Today Related posts:No related photos. Previous Article Next Article Comments are closed. Max Mckeown and Philip Whiteley argue that ‘people’ and ‘Strategy’ are notmutually exclusiveAnother month, another clutch of surveys showing how empowered and motivatedemployees create more successful companies. The Work USA 2002 Survey by WatsonWyatt found that returns to shareholders were three times higher at companieswith high levels of trust between managers and staff. Why does no-one believe the results? We are told that we always have tochoose between the evil but efficient ‘maximising shareholder value’ optionversus the caring, socially aware ‘stakeholder’ approach. This notion of choice between head and heart is an illusion. There is apowerful cultural myth of some intrinsic connection between exploitation andprofit-making; that the more people are demeaned and have their horizonsshrunken, the more lean and successful the business. There is solid evidence that the whole human being, freed from the shrinkingeffects of gratuitous rules, bullying and excessive cost-cutting, producesbetter business. Most managers will have been lectured over their failure to be morestrategic. But what does it mean to be strategic when most business strategiesfail and the ‘people element’ is regarded as peripheral? Specifically, the approach to strategy based on the notion of a company asan inanimate superstructure to which staff are subordinate as ‘resources’ isjust plain wrong. Research shows that mergers and restructurings on this modelnearly always fail. The myth is so strong it persuades some people to try to convert goodbusinesses into bad ones. Southwest Airlines, alone among US carriers, hasnever reported a loss. It makes development and selection of its people itscore strategic objective – yet it still comes under pressure from investors tocut ‘costs’ on recruitment and training. The ‘Unshrink’ theory replaces rules and obsessive cost measurement withprinciples. The principles are that we are not what we do, but what we canbecome. We are all human – boss and employee alike. Only good change is good,and our organisations and world are communities and not machines. It means creating a workplace for grown-up, complete people with families,brains, unfulfilled ambitions and pride. People will follow willingly when theyunderstand the principles, believe in them and are permitted the freedom tofollow their own initiative in so doing. Is it not the challenge of advanced economies to finds ways to createever-more creative, intelligence-packed products, and multi-level experiences? The door is open for the personnel profession to develop its own strategicthinking, and have the confidence to say “I refuse to draw up redundancyplans until I see some evidence that you have gauged the effects of lost skills,reduced morale and weaker customer retention”. Or “Here’s a plan totransform the pay and career structure in our call centres to equip staff toimprove the lives of the customers”. The evidence is on your side. Max Mckeown is a business author and Philip Whiteley is a freelancejournalist. Their book, Unshrink is published by Prentice Hall Business, at£9.99 last_img read more

O.C. Legion Brings Back Free Vacations for Vets

first_imgMaster Sergeant Joe Farrell and his family (left to right: Aiden Joseph, Alyssa Rose, wife Sharon, Joseph Robert (back row) and Liam, prepare for a week’s vacation in Ocean City, thanks to the efforts of American Legion Post 524 and its Veterans Rest and Relaxation Program, now in it’s third year of serving vets and their families.For the third consecutive year, Ocean City’s American Legion Post 524 will welcome veterans and their families to “America’s Greatest Family Resort” for an all-expenses-paid, one-week vacation.“The Veterans Rest & Relaxation Program began in 2013 as a way to pay tribute to servicemen and women for sacrifices made during their time in the military,” said program chairman Steve Cole. “Whenever military personnel are deployed, their families also share in that deployment and we support their efforts as well.”On Saturday (June 13), Army Master Sergeant Joseph Farrell, his wife, Shannon, and their children Joe Jr., Allysa, Liam and Aiden will be escorted across the Route 52 causeway by the American Legion Riders motorcycle team and the Ocean City Fire and Police departments. They will arrive at Post 524 on Bay Avenue and be welcomed with gifts from local merchants and the keys to a “free” condominium on the island.Farrell entered the service in 1980 and trained in the Army’s Special Forces as a medic. He retired earlier this year after 35 years and advancing to Senior Battalion Medic. He saw action in Operation Desert Shield (Saudi Arabia), Operation Desert Storm (Kuwait), and later in Afghanistan. During his career, Farrell earned the Bronze Star Medal, the Kuwait Liberation Medal and a Presidential Unit Citation.Local businesses supporting the Rest & Relaxation Program include:Artisan’s Alcove ($50.00 gift certificate)Ward’s Bakery ($20.00 gift certificate)Hoy’s 5 & 10 ($50.00 gift certificate)Sun Rose Words & Music ($25.00 gift certificate)Fashion Nails (Free Manicure)Kay Jay’s Doll House ($20.00 gift certificate)Yoasis Yogurt ($30.00 gift card)ShopRite ($100.00 gift certificate)Mallon’s Stickey Buns (one dozen buns)Ocean City Home Bank (beach balls, caps, towels and gift certificates)Acme Markets ($100.00 gift certificate)Ocean City Coffee Company ($50.00 gift certificate)Shriver’s Candies (candy and salt water taffy)Mia’s Christmas Shop (a gift box assortment)Henry’s ($25.00 gift certificate)YoGo Factory Yogurt (gift cards and free sundaes)34th Street Market ($100.00 gift certificate)Manco & Manco ( gift certificates)Spinning Wheel Florists (a bouquet of flowers.)The City of Ocean City is also involved in the R & R Program offering free parking during the family’s stay, passes to the Municipal Golf Course, and a free one-week’s pass to the Aquatics and Fitness Center. The Chamber of Commerce has donated a welcome basket and a private tour of the Cape May Zoo is being offered by Cape May County.“The intent of this program is to say ‘Thank You for your service’ to our military heroes who have helped keep us safe,” said Steve Cole. “And we do this because it’s not only the right thing to do, it just feels good.”— News release from Doug Otto for American Legion Post 524last_img read more

Govt making mockery of CJ’s decision, Constitution – Nandlall

first_imgCourt-ordered Article 106 March 19 elections…engaging in more ‘constitutional heresy’Former Attorney General and Legal Affairs Minister Anil Nandlall has accused the David Granger-led Administration of practising “constitutional heresy” by still holding Cabinet meetings but under a different name while ignoring the recent ruling by acting Chief Justice (CJ) Roxane George.Former Attorney General Anil NandlallNandlall said that in her ruling, the CJ stated clearly that in accordance with the Constitution and upon the successful passage of the no-confidence motion, on December 21, 2018, the President (David Granger), as well as the Cabinet, was taken to have resigned.“To circumvent the CJ’s ruling and to subvert the express language of the Constitution, the Government continues to meet and make decisions, but they are not calling those meetings Cabinet, but a ‘Ministerial Plenary and the Secretary to this extra-constitutional body who used to be the Secretary to the Cabinet (Edward Persico), that person is now called Secretary to the plenary,” he explained.MockeryThis move, according to Nandlall, highlights how Government is making a mockery of both the acting CJ’s decision, as well as the express provisions of the Constitution. He reminded that the Constitution provided for an institution called Cabinet and that institution is to advise the President on the direction in which the Government should go policy-wise and in accordance with good governance.He argued, “Cabinet has been disbanded so to speak by the CJ’s ruling and by the express language of provision of the Constitution by the passage of the no-confidence motion. You can’t concoct another agency calling it a name and imbuing it with the power to perform the functions that Cabinet used to be performing. I’ve never heard anything like this, nowhere in the Caribbean or Commonwealth…”The former AG also described the situation as a constitutional travesty.Constitutional heresyPresident David GrangerMeanwhile, in making reference to statements made by Minister of State, Joseph Harmon, where he told the press that the plenary of Ministers had the same powers as Cabinet, Nandlall said he disagreed with that reasoning.“Where did they get that from? Where did the plenary of Cabinet Ministers, whatever that amorphous organisation is, is not provided anywhere in the laws. The Constitution creates a Cabinet and it ascribes to Cabinet the functional responsibilities that Cabinet is to perform,” he added.Again, Nandlall said that it could only be seen as constitutional heresy at its worst. His reasoning for this is that all of the decisions which are now being made are unconstitutional and illegal. “At some time they will have to set aside that as illegal and unlawful, because it is,” he stated.Minister Harmon was the first to reveal this information, stating that the plenary of ministers have met as a collective to note contracts from the National Procurement and Tender Administration Board (NPTAB) and give approval for various official government appointments.The Minister revealed that the plenary approved diplomatic relations with San Marino, the appointment of a new Indian High Commissioner and a non-resident Ambassador from Kuwait.The plenary gave its consent for the reconstitution of the National Data Management Authority (NDMA); a Value Added Tax (VAT) Appeal tribunal and also approved the Customs and Trade Single Window System Bill 2019. This Bill, Harmon explained, will pave the way for improved processing of data.Harmon defended the meeting of the plenary, noting that such meetings were also held last year. The Minister was asked to explain under which law is a plenary of Ministers authorised to meet and ‘note’ contracts.“The plenaries are an extended Cabinet with all the Ministers included. It is noted that there is in fact a judgement of the court that was made with respect to the Cabinet. That judgement was appealed. But we have not had a stay of the judgement, and as such, we have not held Cabinet meetings.”“Ministerial plenaries are chaired by the President and include all the Ministers. It, therefore, has all the powers that a Cabinet has… the appointment of a Minister, sitting as a Minister appointed in a full meeting with the President has the full authority of the Government to perform his functions.”Government fell to a no-confidence vote brought against it on December 21, 2018. It took the matter to the High Court, but was defeated. The matter is now with the Appeal Court.President Granger and his Government have said they are waiting on the pending legal cases, but Opposition Leader Bharrat Jagdeo has already warned that transactions approved by an illegal Cabinet run the risk of not being recognised.last_img read more

Apple Makes Its Move In The Smart Home With HomeKit

first_img4 Keys to a Kid-Safe App Tags:#Apple#HomeKit#Internet of Things#iPhone#smart home#WWDC#WWDC 2014 adriana lee Related Posts 5 Outdoor Activities for Beating Office Burnoutcenter_img After weeks of anticipation, Apple finally offered details on its smart home offering: HomeKit, a strategy designed to “bring some rationality to this space,” Craig Federighi, Apple’s senior vice president for software engineering said at company’s Worldwide Developers Conference.HomeKit is designed to unify the various, piecemeal experience in the connected home, with a variety of providers, systems and connectivity options under “a common network protocol,” Federighi said.Specifics were scarce. Federighi said HomeKit will somehow allow iOS users to control their homes with their iPhones—and only their iPhones—to manage “locks, lights, cameras, doors, thermostats, plugs, switches.” The mobile device will offer secure pairing, and can control separate gadgets or set automations for groups of devices.And it will be controlled via voice, thanks to integration with Apple’s Siri personal assistant. So you can change modes by saying “time for bed,” and your house will respond by bringing down the lights and locking the front door.Federighi’s presentation focused mostly on features, not specifics, but we look forward to unpacking this protocol in the days ahead. 9 Books That Make Perfect Gifts for Industry Ex… 12 Unique Gifts for the Hard-to-Shop-for People…last_img read more

Saina Nehwal in Indonesia Open finals

first_imgDefending champion Saina Nehwal inched closer to a third successive Indonesian Open Super Series badminton title after advancing to the finals with a three-game triumph over Chinese Taipei’s Shao Chieh Cheng in Jakarta on Saturday.The fourth-seeded Indian won 21-14 14-21 21-17 in a 45-minute battle against giant-killer Cheng, who had created quite a flutter by upstaging top seed Shixian Wang and seventh seed Xin Liu earlier in the tournament.The opening game was fought on even keel before Saina reeled off seven successive points to nose ahead.The 21-year-old Indian lost the momentum in the second game as Cheng drew level with more net winners than Saina’s.The third game was a closer affair but Cheng didn’t have a reply to Saina’s 11 smash winners, which sealed the game and the match for her.- With PTI inputslast_img read more

Position Vacant – Sport Operations Manager (NT)

first_imgAre you looking for a thrilling career in the sports industry?  Touch Football Australia (TFA) is seeking suitably qualified applicants for the position of Sport Operations Manager – Northern Territory, based in our Darwin branch office. To view the Position Description, please click on the attachment below.Applications for this opportunity close at 9.00am (AEDST) on Friday, 12 February 2016. For further information or to lodge your application for this career opportunity, please email [email protected] Filespd_sops_sport_ops_manager_updated_format_03-pdfRelated LinksPosition Vacantlast_img read more

a month agoAgent: Barcelona pushed hard to sign Man Utd defender Victor Lindelof

first_imgTagsTransfersAbout the authorPaul VegasShare the loveHave your say Agent: Barcelona pushed hard to sign Man Utd defender Victor Lindelofby Paul Vegasa month agoSend to a friendShare the loveBarcelona were keen on Manchester United defender Victor Lindelof this summer, says his agent.Lindelof’s agent – Hasan Cetinkaya – has claimed that Barcelona ‘s interest in his client intensified after Juventus won the race to sign Dutch starlet Matthijs de Ligt from Ajax. “Victor Nilsson Lindelöf was perhaps Manchester United’s best player last season and with that comes interest from clubs who are better on the pitch right now,” he told Sport Bladet after the Swede penned new terms last week. “When Mathijs De Ligt chose Juventus, Victor became Barcelonas first choice. His play style, his DNA is very close to the way Barcelona plays.”He’s one of the best center backs on his feet and Barcelona wanted him. That was it. I can talk openly about that now.”His agent claimed he attempted to push through a move to Spain but United were unwilling to sanction the deal.He added: “They contacted Ed Woodward multiples times with concrete offers. I met with their head of transfers Matt Judge to try and get a deal through.”But they said ‘There is no way. Victor is one of our best players’.” last_img read more

12 days agoItaly coach Mancini urges Everton striker Kean ‘to be more careful’

first_imgItaly coach Mancini urges Everton striker Kean ‘to be more careful’by Paul Vegas12 days agoSend to a friendShare the loveItaly coach Roberto Mancini has urged Everton striker Moise Kean to keep his cool during games.Mancini has commented on Kean’s recent red card after the Everton striker was sent off on U21 duty.The Blues star was in action against Republic of Ireland U21s on Thursday but saw his evening cut short after being dismissed for an altercation with Tottenham Hotspur’s Troy Parrott, who also saw red.”‘m sorry for yesterday’s expulsion,” Mancini told reporters on Friday.”He was also unlucky. But he is always involved, he must be more careful.” About the authorPaul VegasShare the loveHave your saylast_img read more

This Is The Greatest Sports Day Of The Year

Oct. 21, 1973Sun1 (WS Game 7)1235 NUMBER OF GAMES Oct. 30, 2016Sun1 (WS Game 5)1178 Nov. 1, 2010Mon1 (WS Game 5)133 Oct. 17, 1971Sun1 (WS Game 7)1236 Oct. 12, 1980Sun1 (NLCS Game 5)1348 Nov. 1, 2009Sun1 (WS Game 4)1274 Oct. 27, 1985Sun1 (WS Game 7)1315 Oct. 14, 1973Sun1 (WS Game 2)1235 Another sports equinox is in the booksDates on which all four major U.S. sports leagues (MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL) had at least one game Oct. 14, 1979Sun1 (WS Game 5)1337 With nine NHL games, three NBA games, an NFL game and an MLB playoff game — made possible by the Chicago Cubs’ victory in Game 4 of the NLCS on Wednesday — Thursday is your (first) sports equinox of 2017.What’s a sports equinox? As my former colleague Reuben Fischer-Baum wrote on a couple of occasions, it’s when all four major U.S. sports leagues — the NFL, NBA, NHL and MLB — play at least one game on the same day. Historically speaking, it doesn’t happen often. There have only been 17 sports equinoxes in history, including Thursday: Oct. 19, 1980Sun1 (WS Game 5)1336 DATEDAYMLBNFLNBANHL Oct. 15, 1978Sun1 (WS Game 5)1355 Oct. 15, 1972Sun1 (WS Game 2)1236 Oct. 22, 1972Sun1 (WS Game 7)1235 Nov. 2, 2009Mon1 (WS Game 5)153 Nov. 1, 2015Sun1 (WS Game 5)1275 Amazingly, there was a 15-year period without a single sports equinox, between 1985 and 2001. And after 2001, seven more years passed without it happening. But sports equinoxes have occurred much more frequently in recent years — six have happened in the nine years since 2008. They might become even more common in the future, thanks to Thursday-night NFL becoming a fixture, the World Series often running later than usual, and a new NBA scheduling policy this season that moved the season’s opening night up by a week and a half.If the Cubs can force Game 7 in the NLCS, Sunday will be another sports equinox. As will Oct. 29, if Game 5 of the World Series takes place. But even if those do happen, Thursday’s equinox will be the only one this season with the added bonus of college football — there are two FBS games tonight, including No. 25-ranked Memphis at Houston (A “Super Equinox”?). Good luck finding enough screens to watch it all! Oct. 19, 2017Thu1 (NLCS Game 5)139 Nov. 4, 2001Sun1 (WS Game 7)1374 read more

Can The Eagles Beat The Bears Can Houston Stop Andrew Luck

sara.ziegler (Sara Ziegler, assistant sports editor): The NFL’s 2018 regular season is finally in the books. Before the playoffs get rolling, let’s look back on an interesting Week 17 and preview next weekend’s wild-card round. We’ll end with giving our Super Bowl predictions again, just to keep us honest.Salfino (Michael Salfino, contributor): I will have to revise my Saints-Steelers Super Bowl pick.sara.ziegler: LOLThe AFC had all the drama yesterday, so let’s start with the Ravens/Steelers/Colts/Titans business.neil (Neil Paine, senior sportswriter): I was very much hoping for that Colts-Titans tie. But alas.sara.ziegler: If the NFL were scripted, we would have ended the regular season on a tie.neil: Particularly this of all regular seasons.Salfino: What’s interesting to me about the Ravens is that teams are not punishing Lamar Jackson for running.joshua.hermsmeyer (Josh Hermsmeyer, NFL analyst): I’m unclear on why teams don’t force Jackson to beat them with his arm as well. It’s worked in the past against other highly mobile QBs, and there seems to be no great reason why it won’t work again.neil: That’s part of what makes the Ravens so interesting, that their second-half playoff push basically coincided with the QB change and this rush-heavy identity that seems so different in a league that set new records for passing in 2018.Salfino: Yes, the Ravens and the Chiefs are the offenses you really can’t prepare for in a week, IMO. I have no idea how a team can prepare for Jackson in one week. But LAC at least just faced him. Is that advantage Chargers? To me this is the most interesting game of the wild-card round.sara.ziegler: The Ravens nearly let Sunday’s game slip away, though.Salfino: The problem is that it’s so hard to stay disciplined and not chase him. Defenses are taught to be aggressive.Jackson allows the offense to play 11 on 11, and all of defense is predicated on the defense playing 11 on 10.joshua.hermsmeyer: Also strange is that we can make legit comps between Jackson and Josh Allen. Bill Belichick kept Allen in the pocket during Week 16 knowing the main danger he poses is from his legs. And New England won.Salfino: Yes, the Patriots are just taught to be super disciplined so they can counter that probably better than most teams.sara.ziegler: Did the Browns figure that out a little bit too against Jackson? The Ravens rushed for 8.5 yards per carry in the first half and just 4.5 in the second.Salfino: Maybe as the game wore on, but by then the damage was done. The Browns were just getting gashed. The Ravens were running on 3rd-and-long and converting. It was like a college game — old-school college before the passing explosion.joshua.hermsmeyer: Credit as well to the play-calling, I think. It’s a very creative scheme the Ravens are rolling out.Salfino: Is the Ravens defense overrated? Where are the blue chip players? They are just coached so well. Wink Martindale should get interviews.neil: And Jackson’s own speed is really something to behold. On that first TD Jackson scored, it looked like he was shot out of a cannon.Salfino: Jackson also looked like he was playing at video game speed even on the shorter second TD run. He just darted into the end zone like everyone was standing still.I think the Ravens offense is underrated and their defense is overrated.sara.ziegler: In the other afternoon AFC game of note, the Steelers came out incredibly flat before rallying for the win, which wasn’t quite enough.neil: Pittsburgh’s season will go down as one of the all-time collapses, I think?Salfino: The Steelers have to be the most disappointing team in recent memory. They were top 10 in all the key defensive stats except interception percentage — which is fluky, but man that killed them. They have Ben Roethlisberger throwing for 5,000 yards, two All-Pro WRs, and the running game was fine. Yet they just blew one game after the other.joshua.hermsmeyer: Antonio Brown has been inefficient this year, but he was missed.Salfino: The Steelers were sixth in yards per play and sixth in yards allowed per play and didn’t make the playoffs. This is almost impossible. I thought it was impossible.neil: After Week 11, we gave them a 97 percent chance of making the playoffs.sara.ziegler: I was surprised all season that they were as high in Elo as they were.Salfino: Being third in sack rate and 28th in interception rate defies conventional wisdom that pressure creates turnovers. Maybe PIT was super unlucky, too.sara.ziegler: They reeled off six wins in a row, but they never looked dominant.neil: Some of that was probably residual, Sara, from last year, when they had Le’Veon Bell, etc. But the narrative all first half was how they didn’t need Bell.sara.ziegler: Yeah, and James Conner filled in well for them!Salfino: Is MIN more disappointing than PIT? This is going to be a brutal offseason for Kirk Cousins. No player in memory is going to be under more pressure than he will be next year.neil: This is a fraught question for Sara ….sara.ziegler: I can’t even talk about it.neil: Yep.sara.ziegler: Well, Mike, we all know how well Cousins does with pressure.neil: 😬Salfino: I really thought Cousins was a franchise QB. He did pretty well with just garbage offensive talent in 2017 in WAS, and this year he just never really could get it going. He played so tight.neil: Sunday was sort of symbolic of the whole 2018 Vikings.They controlled their destiny at home (granted against the Bears).Cousins goes 4-for-11 for 2.1 yards per attempt and two sacks on third and fourth down.Terrible overall performance.Salfino: It seemed like Cousins averaged about a yard per attempt. If I were the coach of the Vikings, I’d tell him to take chances and not care about INTs. They’re overrated.neil: The Minnesota defense was uncharacteristically bad on third down, too. Allowed 57 percent conversions after giving up only 28 percent all season before Sunday.sara.ziegler: sara.ziegler: 🤣Salfino: I think the Bears just crush the Eagles. This spread is all Foles-narrative-driven, and I don’t believe in fairy tales.sara.ziegler: Wow, Mike.LOLneil: Anybody picking the Eagles probably does have visions of this being yet another Bears team that got into the playoffs on defense with a weak QB performanceAnd promptly lost. But that’s not really this team. Trubisky has been progressing.(The defense is still amazing, of course)joshua.hermsmeyer: You can dink and dunk on Chicago. This will be the defining image of the season for me.Salfino: Cousins showing Thielen how to run routes was both hilarious and sad.joshua.hermsmeyer: One silver lining for the Vikings is that the situational football we typically use to judge Cousins as a disappointment is among the least predictive of future performance in all of football: throws under pressure, third-down conversions. Kirk deserves his share of the blame, but the entire offense looked out of sync yesterday and for a lot of the second half of the season.sara.ziegler: Cousins has his redemption narrative all set for next season, LOL.Salfino: The Eagles benefit from the Vikings’ struggles. I can’t believe that the Bears are only 6-point favorites.neil: Particularly with Nick Foles not necessarily 100 percent.sara.ziegler: The Eagles don’t even need Foles, Neil!neil: Carson Wentz? Nick Foles? Nate Sudfeld? No problem.sara.ziegler: Well … Wentz? Some problems.Everyone else? Fine.neil: Philly was always a backup QB’s dream city during the McNabb era. Some of that has carried over, I guess.Salfino: Foles has got to be the most volatile QB in NFL history. We should quantify that. He’s below average for his career and is treated like a franchise QB based on about 16 games, if we include all of 2013.neil: Yeah, the gap between his best 16 and worst 16 starts has to be one of the biggest ever.Salfino: I can’t even imagine the Bears losing to the Eagles. They are just going to chew Philly up. The Eagles’ best playmaker is still 100-year-old Darren Sproles, who is amazing, but come on.joshua.hermsmeyer: I can’t think of Foles without wincing that he lost $1 million because of four snaps.This is just brutal.sara.ziegler: Ooof.Salfino: Foles is going to get $100 million in about three months, so I will not feel sorry for him.joshua.hermsmeyer: hahsara.ziegler: LOLThe one other meaningful game yesterday — aside from the games that cost coaches their jobs — was Colts-Titans. Anyone surprised that the Colts dominated that one?neil: I mean, Blaine Gabbert was starting for Tennessee, Sarasara.ziegler: FairSalfino: Titans-Colts is QB wins to me. Luck vs. Gabbert. Come on. Murder. She. Wrote.joshua.hermsmeyer: Oh gawd not QB WinzSalfino: YES!!!Give me the better QB, and I’ll take my chances.joshua.hermsmeyer: smhMarlon Mack outrushed Derrick Henry, so why not RB winz?Salfino: No RB winz because winning yards per carry gets you nothing in win probability.Josh, you and I agree broadly but just quibble about how much credit quarterbacks get in the passing game.joshua.hermsmeyer: This is true.neil: Either way, it’s been great to see Andrew Luck bounce back from the injury and lost season to play well and lead a playoff push.sara.ziegler: I’m still amazed by the Colts’ turnaround.They were at 4 percent to make the playoffs on Oct. 15.Salfino: Luck should be in the MVP conversation. I understand it’s Patrick Mahomes. But Luck has done a lot with a lot less than Mahomes. Luck does seemingly have great coaching now though. Frank Reich, who the Colts backed into, was the hire of the offseason. I think better than Matt Nagy even.joshua.hermsmeyer: Luck truly played himself back into game shape. Early on, his throws were routinely Derek Carr short, and by the end of the season he was mostly back to the old Luck.sara.ziegler: So let’s turn to this weekend’s games.Colts-Texans and Seahawks-Cowboys on Saturday, Chargers-Ravens and Eagles-Bears on Sunday.Which underdog has the best chance?neil: Three of the 4 underdogs are +2.5 per Vegas.Salfino: Colts-Texans is the game of the week to me in terms of having no idea who will win. The Texans are a strange team with great strengths (QB, pass rush) and crippling weaknesses (offensive line, pass coverage).On paper, the Colts are a terrible matchup for the Texans because Luck led the league in lowest sack rate as he completely transformed his game to protect his health. So smart.neil: Indy also also beat Houston in Houston less than a month ago.Salfino: I am going to fade the Seahawks: 25th in yards allowed per play and 31st in sack rate allowed. That’s so bad. I can’t believe they even made the playoffs.neil: Ironically, our Elo gives Seattle the best chance of any wild card weekend team. 😉Elo has a tendency to react strongly to recent hot streaks, for better or worse.Seattle has won six of its past seven, including a win over Kansas City.Salfino: If you have Russell Wilson, anything is possible. I will stipulate.joshua.hermsmeyer: I like Seattle for my part. Turnovers are wildly unpredictable, and that drove their defensive Defense-adjusted Value Over Average for much of the season, but they are built to win close games like this one where both teams appear to want to “establish the run.”Salfino: The football story of the week when it comes to the chess aspect of the game and coaching is whether the Chargers having experienced the Ravens offense can now shut it down. But they don’t really do much on defense except play that Seattle, straight-up style. So do they even have a bag of tricks?sara.ziegler: Seems strange to me that the Ravens are favorites over the Chargers.Baltimore is hot right now, but L.A. has been solid all season.Salfino: Well, Baltimore has had the best home-field advantage in football when you factor in road vs. home record. So LAC are up against it.neil: Never underestimate the extra value of home-field advantage in the NFL playoffs, too.sara.ziegler: Yeah, that all makes sense.I still like the Chargers. I’m being obstinate, LOL.neil: Well, this is a little bit of a counter to the QB Winz debate from above. L.A. clearly has the better QB.joshua.hermsmeyer: I like Philip Rivers and the Chargers as well. Particularly if the Chargers keep Jackson in the pocket.Salfino: No Super Bowl team has won a road game since the 2012 season. But I’ll say that the most likely road winners this week in order are the Colts (they win), Chargers (I can see it but don’t think they adjust defensively), Seattle (Wilson gives them a chance) and Eagles (no chance unless Mitch Trubisky craps the bed).sara.ziegler: 🔥joshua.hermsmeyer: The Baltimore defense prevents completions, that’s their best skill. But Rivers has completed passes at 1.8 percent over expected this season.Salfino: New England really gets tested if the Colts win. (They would have to play the winner of Baltimore-LAC.) If the Texans win, Houston is just made for an easy Patriots victory in the divisional round.Little worried about how Rivers has looked of late. But probably just random variance. There’s not much data on QBs this old late in the season and into the postseason other than Brady.sara.ziegler: I’m worried about how Rivers looks, too — at least in this Mina Kimes drawing: joshua.hermsmeyer: looolneil: That’s still accurate.I loved that segment on NFL Countdown Sunday, where they talked about Rivers’ trash talk. Which somehow never includes swearing.sara.ziegler: I’ve always really liked him. A perfect fantasy football QB.Salfino: Philip Rivers is great. A Hall-of-Famer IMO. But unbelievably he has as many career playoff wins as Mark Sanchez. He needs more pelts on the wall.sara.ziegler: Very fair.Is anyone taking the Eagles over the Bears?neil: I recuse myself.LOLsara.ziegler: Wait, we can’t make predictions about our favorite teams?I’ve literally been picking the Vikings to lose all season.neil: I gotta hand it to you, those were accurate predictions.sara.ziegler: LOLneil: As opposed to this one: Salfino: Remember, Foles was LUCKY to beat the Falcons last year. He had a ball go off a Falcon’s knee, or they probably lose that game. Then he turned into Cinderella, and I have no idea how or why.sara.ziegler: He did get to face the Vikings last year — that undoubtedly helped.joshua.hermsmeyer: If Foles can be efficient and healthy, and the Eagles are patient, I can totally imagine a game where Biscuit implodes and the Eagles move on. I think the spread has some of that in it.Salfino: I do not believe in the Eagles defense at all. But I also don’t like how Nagy hasn’t given Tarik Cohen consistently more touches than Jordan Howard. And the Bears are all banged up now at WR.I agree with Josh on Trubisky, but the Bears and Nagy can’t put him in a position to lose that game. The Eagles have no playmakers. Dare them to score.sara.ziegler: Yeah, it could be closer than it seems. Of course, if Foles can’t play, then the Eagles will REALLY need a fairy tale.All right, let’s wrap this up with our Super Bowl predictions, so we can continue to look ridiculous when our picks all lose.Salfino: I’m going Saints-Chiefs, but that’s predicated on the Colts beating the Texans and giving the Patriots a nightmare matchup in the divisional round. It’s so public to fade the Chiefs that I’m fading the public. Offense!Mahomes wins MVP and Brees wins Super Bowl MVP. Seems fair.neil: I’ve been saying New Orleans over K.C. for these past few chats, and that’s still possible, so I’m sticking with it. (Despite the defensive concerns!)sara.ziegler: I took the Bears last time, and now having watched them flatten my own team, I probably need to keep them. Bears-Chiefs, Chiefs take it down.joshua.hermsmeyer: Chiefs-Rams rematch, Chiefs win. Because that would be the best ending to the best offensive season in the NFL probably ever.neil: What’s the score on that one, Josh? Is it the first Super Bowl whose score will be mistaken for an Arena Bowl?joshua.hermsmeyer: 36-35 with the game decided on a 2-point conversion.neil: Ooh, going low. I like it.Check out our latest NFL predictions. read more